10525 (CEV) Fair Value 2026

CEV · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, 10525 (CEV) trades at $10.61, approximately 197% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.57. QOC: 2.0/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CEV
Price
$10.61
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +16.4% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is 10525 (CEV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, 10525 (CEV) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $8.55, 19.4% below the current price of $10.61. Estimates range from $1.59 to $18.18. CEV scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy 10525 Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.61)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $3.57 -66.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $7.85 -26.0%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $12.35 +16.4%
Markov DDM
Low Conviction
 $6.28 -40.8%

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What Is 10525 (CEV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, 10525's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $8.67. Trading at $10.61, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.3%), as 7 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $18.18 (+71.3%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $1.59 (-85.0%). This +156.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about 10525's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CEV?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CEV. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CEV's intrinsic value at $3.57, implying -66.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CEV Rank in —?

CEV operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

10525 operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CEV a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CEV. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for 10525. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, 10525 earns a quality score of 2.0/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +156.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CEV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CEV's 11 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy 10525 Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

PSECProspect Capital CorporationQOC 8.4SCMStellus Capital Investment CorpQOC 7.8FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.6HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.6GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 7.4TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC QOC 7.3OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.QOC 7.2GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: PSEC · SCM · FDUS · HTGC · GLAD

Frequently Asked Questions About 10525

What is 10525's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, 10525 (CEV) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.57. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CEV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.61, 3 of 11 active models suggest CEV may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $8.55, 19.4% below the current price of $10.61 — a consensus view that CEV is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits 10525's business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for CEV?

10525's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CEV?

CirclFi analyzes CEV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CEV a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CEV at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, 10525 (CEV) has a median fair value of $8.55 — 19.4% below the current price of $10.61 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CEV/ · Methodology

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