The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) Fair Value 2026

BODI · Retail-Nonstore Retailers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (44/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) trades at $11.09, approximately 337% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.54. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 44/100 (WARN). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BODI
Price
$11.09
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
44/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 44 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $7.86, 29.1% below the current price of $11.09. Estimates range from $2.54 to $14.65. BODI scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 44/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Beachbody Company, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$2.54 -77.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$8.90 -19.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$7.86 -29.1%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
$3.29 -70.4%

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What Is The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Beachbody Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.29. Trading at its current price of $11.09, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -34.3%. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +32.1% (fair value: $14.65), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -77.1% ($2.54). The spread between these extremes — +109.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BODI?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BODI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BODI's intrinsic value at $2.54, implying -77.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BODI Rank in Retail-Nonstore Retailers?

Among 2 Retail-Nonstore Retailers stocks, BODI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

The Retail-Nonstore Retailers sector introduces analytical considerations specific to retail business businesses. For The Beachbody Company, Inc., metrics like customer lifetime value (CLV) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is BODI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BODI a score of 44/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for The Beachbody Company, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Beachbody Company, Inc. scores 6.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +109.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BODI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BODI's 11 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Beachbody Company, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Nonstore Retailers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Retail-Nonstore Retailers stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: JWEL

Frequently Asked Questions About The Beachbody Company, Inc.

What is The Beachbody Company, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.54. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BODI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.09, 2 of 11 active models suggest BODI may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $7.86, 29.1% below the current price of $11.09 — a consensus view that BODI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Beachbody Company, Inc.'s business model in Retail-Nonstore Retailers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for BODI?

The Beachbody Company, Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BODI?

CirclFi analyzes BODI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BODI a value trap in 2026?

The Beachbody Company, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 44/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Beachbody Company, Inc. (BODI) has a median fair value of $7.86 — 29.1% below the current price of $11.09 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BODI/ · Methodology

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