BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) Fair Value 2026

BCIC · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) trades at $7.78, versus a $11.44 median fair value across its 7 active models — 47.1% above the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.33.

Key Facts

Ticker
BCIC
Price
$7.78
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +84.2% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $11.44, 47.1% above the current price of $7.78. Estimates range from $2.28 to $18.12. BCIC scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 40/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BCIC’s +47.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy BCP Investment Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BCIC?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $14.33 +84.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $11.71 +50.5%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $6.31 -18.9%
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What Is BCIC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $2.28 to $18.12

CirclFi's 7 active models place BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) between $2.28 and $18.12 per share, a spread of 138% of the median. The median of that range — $11.44 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BCIC, against a current price of $7.78.

Low · EROICHigh · PWERM
$2.28median $11.44$18.12
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$2.28
Most bullish modelPWERM$18.12
Model agreement4 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BCIC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BCIC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on BCP Investment Corp. at $7.78. With an estimated intrinsic value of $11.44 and 4 of 7 models pointing higher, the median implied return is +47.1%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $18.12 (+132.9%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $2.28 (-70.7%). This +203.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about BCP Investment Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BCIC?

7 of 13 models are currently active for BCIC. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BCIC is $11.44 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.33 on its own, implying +84.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BCIC Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, BCIC ranks #83 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

BCP Investment Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BCIC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BCIC a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for BCP Investment Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, BCP Investment Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +203.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BCIC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BCIC's 7 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BCP Investment Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

ARCCAres Capital CorporationQOC 5.9CSWCCapital Southwest CorporationQOC 5.8ASSTStrive, Inc.QOC 6.0EARNEllington Credit CompanyQOC 5.8BCSFBain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.QOC 6.0MFICMidCap Financial Investment CorporationQOC 5.7CWDCaliberCos Inc.QOC 4.8BUIBlackRock Utilities, Infrastructure & Power Opportunities TrustQOC 2.2BNBrookfield CorporationQOC 7.3HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: ARCC · CSWC · ASST · EARN · BCSF · MFIC · CWD · BUI · BN · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BCIC?

7 companies across all industries closest to BCIC’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

BNGOBionano Genomics, Inc.QOC 5.8UUUUniversal Safety Products, IncQOC 5.8NAMSNewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V.QOC 5.8SPHLSpringview Holdings LtdQOC 5.8PRLDPrelude Therapeutics IncorporatedQOC 5.8DNAGinkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BNGO · UUU · NAMS · SPHL · PRLD · DNA · NVDA

Where Does BCIC Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

BCIC is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About BCP Investment Corp.’s Valuation?

What is BCP Investment Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC)'s intrinsic value at $11.44 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.28 to $18.12. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.33 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BCIC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.78, 4 of 7 active models suggest BCIC may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $11.44, 47.1% above the current price of $7.78 — a consensus view that BCIC is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BCP Investment Corp.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for BCIC?

BCP Investment Corp.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BCIC?

CirclFi analyzes BCIC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BCIC?

Of the 7 models currently active on BCIC, PWERM is the most bullish at $18.12 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $2.28. CirclFi's published fair value for BCIC is the median of that range, $11.44, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 138% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BCIC a value trap in 2026?

BCP Investment Corp.'s Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, BCP Investment Corp. (BCIC) has a median fair value of $11.44 — 47.1% above the current price of $7.78 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BCIC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BCIC valuation
  • Financial statements: BCP Investment Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001372807) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BCIC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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