Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. (APGE) Fair Value 2026

APGE · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. (APGE) trades at $133.82, approximately 122% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $60.33. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
APGE
Price
$133.82
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +43.0% upside with 14% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($133.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$60.33 -54.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$37.75 -71.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$65.09 -51.4%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$191.33 +43.0%

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What Is Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. (APGE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. at its current price of $133.82. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $71.33 (-46.7% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $191.33 (+43.0%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $7.84 (-94.1%). This +137.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About APGE?

10 of 13 models are currently active for APGE. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates APGE's intrinsic value at $60.33, implying -54.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does APGE Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 62 Biotechnology stocks, APGE ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

Within the Biotechnology space, Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. competes in an environment where partnership revenue often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is APGE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns APGE a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. is rated at 5.0/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +137.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every APGE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across APGE's 10 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Apogee Therapeutics, Inc. (APGE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $60.33. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is APGE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $133.82, 2 of 10 active models suggest APGE may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for APGE?

Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on APGE?

CirclFi analyzes APGE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is APGE a value trap in 2026?

Apogee Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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