Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) Fair Value 2026

UEC · Miscellaneous Metal Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) trades at $10.10, approximately 170% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.73. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
UEC
Price
$10.10
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$3.73 -63.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$1.00 -90.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.04 -79.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.58 -94.3%

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What Is Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Uranium Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.01, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $10.10. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-70.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $10.55 (+4.5%), versus First Chicago at $0.58 (-94.3%). This +98.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About UEC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for UEC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates UEC's intrinsic value at $3.73, implying -63.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does UEC Rank in Miscellaneous Metal Ores?

Among 11 Miscellaneous Metal Ores stocks, UEC ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Miscellaneous Metal Ores space, Uranium Energy Corp. competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is UEC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UEC a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Uranium Energy Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Uranium Energy Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.3/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +98.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every UEC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across UEC's 12 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Uranium Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Metal Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Miscellaneous Metal Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CCJ · NMG · DNN · IPX · ISOU

Frequently Asked Questions About Uranium Energy Corp.

What is Uranium Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.73. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is UEC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.10, 1 of 12 active models suggest UEC may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Uranium Energy Corp.'s business model in Miscellaneous Metal Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for UEC?

Uranium Energy Corp.'s QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on UEC?

CirclFi analyzes UEC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is UEC a value trap in 2026?

Uranium Energy Corp.'s Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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