High Tide Inc. (HITI) Fair Value 2026

HITI · Retail-Retail Stores, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, High Tide Inc. (HITI) trades at $2.18, approximately 39% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.57. QOC: 6.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HITI
Price
$2.18
Quality Score
6.7/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +181.4% upside with 20% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.18)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$1.57 -28.0%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$6.13 +181.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.36 +8.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$5.46 +150.4%

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What Is High Tide Inc. (HITI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, High Tide Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $2.57, suggesting a +18.0% average upside from the current price of $2.18. While 9 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $6.13 (+181.4%), versus Markov DDM at $0.36 (-83.3%). This +264.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About HITI?

13 of 13 models are currently active for HITI. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HITI's intrinsic value at $1.57, implying -28.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HITI Rank in Retail-Retail Stores, NEC?

Among 18 Retail-Retail Stores, NEC stocks, HITI ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.7 indicates above-average quality.

The Retail-Retail Stores, NEC sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer-facing company businesses. For High Tide Inc., metrics like brand equity index provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HITI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HITI a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for High Tide Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, High Tide Inc. scores 6.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +264.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HITI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HITI's 13 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy High Tide Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Retail-Retail Stores, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Retail-Retail Stores, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: JD · ULTA · SGU · BBWI · SBH

Frequently Asked Questions About High Tide Inc.

What is High Tide Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, High Tide Inc. (HITI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.57. The Quality of Company score is 6.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HITI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.18, 9 of 13 active models suggest HITI may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits High Tide Inc.'s business model in Retail-Retail Stores, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.7 mean for HITI?

High Tide Inc.'s QOC of 6.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HITI?

CirclFi analyzes HITI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HITI a value trap in 2026?

High Tide Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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