High Tide Inc. (HITI) Fair Value 2026

HITI · Pharmaceutical Retailers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, High Tide Inc. (HITI) trades at $2.51, versus a $1.70 median fair value across its 3 active models — 32.2% below the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.77.

Key Facts

Ticker
HITI
Price
$2.51
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: 3 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is High Tide Inc. (HITI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, High Tide Inc. (HITI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $1.70, 32.2% below the current price of $2.51. Estimates range from $0.77 to $1.84. HITI scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HITI’s -32.2% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy High Tide Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HITI?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.51)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.77 -69.5%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $1.70 -32.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.84 -26.5%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is HITI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $0.77 to $1.84

CirclFi's 3 active models place High Tide Inc. (HITI) between $0.77 and $1.84 per share, a spread of 63% of the median. The median of that range — $1.70 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HITI, against a current price of $2.51.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · RCMH-DCF
$0.77median $1.70$1.84
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$0.77
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$1.84
Model agreement0 bullish · 3 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HITI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is High Tide Inc. (HITI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, High Tide Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.70. Trading at its current price of $2.51, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 3 of 3 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -32.2%. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $1.84 (-26.5%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.77 (-69.5%). This +43.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About HITI?

3 of 13 models are currently active for HITI. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for HITI is $1.70 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.77 on its own, implying -69.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HITI Rank in Pharmaceutical Retailers?

Among 9 Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks, HITI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Pharmaceutical Retailers sector introduces analytical considerations specific to biopharma enterprise businesses. For High Tide Inc., metrics like clinical trial success rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HITI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HITI a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for High Tide Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, High Tide Inc. scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +43.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HITI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HITI's 3 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy High Tide Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Retailers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Retailers stocks with 13-model coverage

BHICBioScience Health Innovations IQOC 6.8PETSPetMed Express, Inc.QOC 6.2SHFHScientist Home Future Health LimitedQOC 5.6DHTIDalrada Technology Group Inc.QOC 5.4SCNXScienture Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.2PMHSPolomar Health Services, Inc.QOC 5.2POMPomdoctor LimitedQOC 4.9RDGTRidgetech, Inc.QOC 1.8

Read investment analysis: BHIC · PETS · SHFH · DHTI · SCNX · PMHS · POM · RDGT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HITI?

7 companies across all industries closest to HITI’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

FOCLEDAP TMS S.A.QOC 5.8DUOFangdd Network Group Ltd.QOC 5.8EARNEllington Credit CompanyQOC 5.8SLMTBrera Holdings PLCQOC 5.8NXHNeighborhood Intelligence, Inc.QOC 5.8PONYPony AI Inc.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FOCL · DUO · EARN · SLMT · NXH · PONY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About High Tide Inc.’s Valuation?

What is High Tide Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts High Tide Inc. (HITI)'s intrinsic value at $1.70 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.77 to $1.84. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.77 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HITI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.51, 0 of 3 active models suggest HITI may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $1.70, 32.2% below the current price of $2.51 — a consensus view that HITI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits High Tide Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Retailers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for HITI?

High Tide Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HITI?

CirclFi analyzes HITI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HITI?

Of the 3 models currently active on HITI, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $1.84 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $0.77. CirclFi's published fair value for HITI is the median of that range, $1.70, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 63% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HITI a value trap in 2026?

High Tide Inc.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, High Tide Inc. (HITI) has a median fair value of $1.70 — 32.2% below the current price of $2.51 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HITI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HITI valuation
  • Financial statements: High Tide Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001847409) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HITI as of ; valuations recomputed .