Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) Fair Value 2026

TVGN · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) trades at $4.78, approximately 165% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.80. QOC: 3.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TVGN
Price
$4.78
Quality Score
3.2/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +210.4% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $3.97, 16.9% below the current price of $4.78. Estimates range from $0.34 to $14.84. TVGN scores 3.2/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.80 -62.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.97 -16.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$14.84 +210.4%

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What Is Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. at its current price of $4.78. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $5.20 (+8.8% average return), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +210.4% (fair value: $14.84), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -92.9% ($0.34). The spread between these extremes — +303.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About TVGN?

7 of 13 models are currently active for TVGN. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TVGN's intrinsic value at $1.80, implying -62.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TVGN Rank in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)?

Among 134 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks, TVGN ranks #126 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.2 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) Stocks →

Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TVGN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TVGN a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. is rated at 3.2/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +303.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TVGN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TVGN's 7 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EXEL · HALO · NBIX · GILD · PLX

See all Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.

What is Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.80. The Quality of Company score is 3.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TVGN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.78, 3 of 7 active models suggest TVGN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $3.97, 16.9% below the current price of $4.78 — a consensus view that TVGN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.'s business model in Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances).

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.2 mean for TVGN?

Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 3.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TVGN?

CirclFi analyzes TVGN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TVGN a value trap in 2026?

Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Tevogen Bio Holdings Inc. (TVGN) has a median fair value of $3.97 — 16.9% below the current price of $4.78 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TVGN/ · Methodology

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