Source Capital (SOR) Fair Value 2026

SOR · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Source Capital (SOR) trades at $45.01, versus a $97.56 median fair value across its 2 active models — 116.8% above the current price. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SOR
Price
$45.01
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +141.7% upside with 13% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 5.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Source Capital (SOR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Source Capital (SOR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $97.56, 116.8% above the current price of $45.01. Estimates range from $86.33 to $108.80. SOR scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. SOR’s +116.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is +3.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Source Capital Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SOR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.01)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $108.80 +141.7%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $86.33 +91.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Source Capital (SOR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Source Capital's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $97.56. At a current market price of $45.01, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +116.8%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +141.7% (fair value: $108.80), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at +91.8% ($86.33). The spread between these extremes — +49.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SOR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for SOR. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SOR is $97.56 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SOR Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, SOR ranks #108 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Source Capital operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SOR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SOR a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Source Capital. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Source Capital scores 5.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +49.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SOR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SOR's 2 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Source Capital Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

TCPCBlackRock TCP Capital Corp.QOC 5.0TYTri-Continental CorporationQOC 5.0GGTThe Gabelli Multimedia Trust Inc.QOC 5.0BGRBlackRock Energy and Resources TrustQOC 5.0EVFEaton Vance Senior Income TrustQOC 5.1JHSJohn Hancock Income Securities TrustQOC 5.0FTFranklin Universal TrustQOC 4.5WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.QOC 8.2PFXPhenixFIN CorporationQOC 6.4HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: TCPC · TY · GGT · BGR · EVF · JHS · FT · WHG · PFX · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SOR?

7 companies across all industries closest to SOR’s Quality of Company score of 5.0/10.

OFALOFA GroupQOC 5.0DHCDiversified Healthcare TrustQOC 5.0SBETSharplink, Inc.QOC 5.0PALXPalomino Laboratories Inc.QOC 5.0ABVCABVC BioPharma, Inc.QOC 5.0LOTTTechlott Inc.QOC 5.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OFAL · DHC · SBET · PALX · ABVC · LOTT · NVDA

Where Does SOR Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

SOR is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Source Capital’s Valuation?

What is Source Capital's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Source Capital (SOR)'s intrinsic value at $97.56 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $86.33 to $108.80. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SOR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.01, 2 of 2 active models suggest SOR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $97.56, 116.8% above the current price of $45.01 — a consensus view that SOR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Source Capital's business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for SOR?

Source Capital's QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SOR?

CirclFi analyzes SOR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SOR a value trap in 2026?

Source Capital's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Source Capital (SOR) has a median fair value of $97.56 — 116.8% above the current price of $45.01 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SOR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SOR valuation
  • Financial statements: Source Capital 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000091847) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SOR as of ; valuations recomputed .