Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) Fair Value 2026

SNGX · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (35/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) trades at $0.37, approximately 21% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.31. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 35/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SNGX
Price
$0.37
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
35/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +313.2% upside with 46% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.52, 38.6% above the current price of $0.37. Estimates range from $0.31 to $1.54. SNGX scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 35/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Soligenix, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.31 -17.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.52 +40.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.52 +38.6%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$1.54 +313.2%

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What Is Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Soligenix, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.61, suggesting a +63.9% average upside from the current price of $0.37. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 1 model flags potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $1.54 (+313.2%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.31 (-17.5%). This +330.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SNGX?

9 of 13 models are currently active for SNGX. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SNGX's intrinsic value at $0.31, implying -17.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SNGX Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, SNGX ranks #169 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

Soligenix, Inc.'s positioning within the Pharmaceutical Preparations segment means that FDA approval probability plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including orphan drug designation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is SNGX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SNGX a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Soligenix, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Soligenix, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.4/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +330.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SNGX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SNGX's 9 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Soligenix, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Soligenix, Inc.

What is Soligenix, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.31. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SNGX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.37, 6 of 9 active models suggest SNGX may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.52, 38.6% above the current price of $0.37 — a consensus view that SNGX is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Soligenix, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for SNGX?

Soligenix, Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SNGX?

CirclFi analyzes SNGX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SNGX a value trap in 2026?

Soligenix, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 35/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Soligenix, Inc. (SNGX) has a median fair value of $0.52 — 38.6% above the current price of $0.37 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SNGX/ · Methodology

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