What Is SkyWater Technology, Inc. (SKYT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SkyWater Technology, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $11.01, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $31.85. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-65.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +6.8% (fair value: $34.01), while EROIC is the most conservative at -98.4% ($0.52). The spread between these extremes — +105.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About SKYT?
11 of 13 models are currently active for SKYT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SKYT's intrinsic value at $6.19, implying -80.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SKYT Rank in Semiconductors & Related Devices?
Among 82 Semiconductors & Related Devices stocks, SKYT ranks #49 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors & Related Devices Stocks →
As a chip maker, SkyWater Technology, Inc. operates in a sector where inventory days is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SKYT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is SKYT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SKYT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for SkyWater Technology, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, SkyWater Technology, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +105.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SKYT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SKYT's 11 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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