Sea Limited (SE) Fair Value 2026

SE · Internet Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Sea Limited (SE) trades at $118.32, versus a $73.18 median fair value across its 9 active models — 38.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $94.35.

Key Facts

Ticker
SE
Price
$118.32
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Sea Limited (SE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Sea Limited (SE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $73.18, 38.1% below the current price of $118.32. Estimates range from $18.41 to $167.87. SE scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SE’s -38.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Internet Retail sector median is -25.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sea Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SE?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($118.32)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $94.35 -20.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $73.18 -38.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $104.99 -11.3%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $18.41 -84.4%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including EROIC Spread, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is SE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $18.41 to $167.87

CirclFi's 9 active models place Sea Limited (SE) between $18.41 and $167.87 per share, a spread of 204% of the median. The median of that range — $73.18 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SE, against a current price of $118.32.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Regime Cross
$18.41median $73.18$167.87
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$18.41
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$167.87
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sea Limited (SE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sea Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $73.18. Trading at its current price of $118.32, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -38.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $167.87 (+41.9%), versus ML-RIV at $18.41 (-84.4%). This +126.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SE?

9 of 13 models are currently active for SE. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SE is $73.18 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $94.35 on its own, implying -20.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SE Rank in Internet Retail?

Among 42 Internet Retail stocks, SE ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places SE in the top tier.

The Internet Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to digital enterprise businesses. For Sea Limited, metrics like net revenue retention (NRR) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SE a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Sea Limited. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sea Limited scores 8.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +126.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SE's 9 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sea Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Internet Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Internet Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

LQDTLiquidity Services, Inc.QOC 9.0AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.QOC 8.7CHWYChewy, Inc.QOC 9.0GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.QOC 8.7PDDPDD Holdings Inc.QOC 9.2EBAYeBay Inc.QOC 8.6RVLVRevolve Group, Inc.QOC 7.7SBDSSolo Brands, Inc.QOC 6.0KPEAKun Peng International Ltd.QOC 4.8

Read investment analysis: LQDT · AMZN · CHWY · GLBE · PDD · EBAY · RVLV · SBDS · KPEA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SE?

7 companies across all industries closest to SE’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions CorporationQOC 8.8TASKTaskUs, Inc.QOC 8.8PGRThe Progressive CorporationQOC 8.8WDCWestern Digital CorporationQOC 8.8CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8ETNEaton Corporation plcQOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CTSH · TASK · PGR · WDC · CELH · ETN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sea Limited’s Valuation?

What is Sea Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sea Limited (SE)'s intrinsic value at $73.18 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $18.41 to $167.87. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $94.35 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $118.32, 1 of 9 active models suggest SE may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $73.18, 38.1% below the current price of $118.32 — a consensus view that SE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sea Limited's business model in Internet Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for SE?

Sea Limited's QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SE?

CirclFi analyzes SE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SE?

Of the 9 models currently active on SE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $167.87 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $18.41. CirclFi's published fair value for SE is the median of that range, $73.18, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 204% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SE a value trap in 2026?

Sea Limited's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Sea Limited (SE) has a median fair value of $73.18 — 38.1% below the current price of $118.32 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SE valuation
  • Financial statements: Sea Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001703399) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SE as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on SE.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for SE Unlock All 9 — $39/mo