Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) Fair Value 2026

OXLC · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) trades at $9.71. QOC: 3.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OXLC
Price
$9.71
Quality Score
3.5/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +22.2% upside with 5% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OXLC?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.71)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Low Conviction
$11.87 +22.2%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $11.87. At a current market price of $9.71, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +22.2%.

What Do the Models Say About OXLC?

1 of 13 models are currently active for OXLC. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OXLC Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, OXLC ranks #163 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.5 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Oxford Lane Capital Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OXLC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OXLC a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Oxford Lane Capital Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Oxford Lane Capital Corp. earns a quality score of 3.5/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OXLC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OXLC's 1 active models, average confidence is 5%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Oxford Lane Capital Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EICA · TGE · BENF · SPMA · AVAT · SPME · PAX · WHF · HQL · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OXLC?

7 companies across all industries closest to OXLC’s Quality of Company score of 3.5/10.

Read investment analysis: SKT · RTGN · SBMT · GENB · COAG · NMHI · NVDA

Where Does OXLC Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

OXLC is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Oxford Lane Capital Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC). The Quality of Company score is 3.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OXLC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.71, 1 of 1 active models suggest OXLC may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.5 mean for OXLC?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s QOC of 3.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OXLC?

CirclFi analyzes OXLC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OXLC a value trap in 2026?

Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) a Quality of Company score of 3.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OXLC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OXLC valuation
  • Financial statements: Oxford Lane Capital Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001495222) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OXLC as of ; valuations recomputed .