Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) Fair Value 2026

OCTV · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) trades at $19.46. QOC: 4.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OCTV
Price
$19.46
Quality Score
4.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +26.0% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OCTV?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.46)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $24.52 +26.0%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Octave Intelligence plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $24.52. At a current market price of $19.46, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +26.0%.

What Do the Models Say About OCTV?

1 of 13 models are currently active for OCTV. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OCTV Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, OCTV ranks #223 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

The Software - Application sector introduces analytical considerations specific to software business businesses. For Octave Intelligence plc, metrics like free cash flow margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is OCTV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OCTV a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Octave Intelligence plc. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Octave Intelligence plc scores 4.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OCTV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OCTV's 1 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Octave Intelligence plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

WEWAWewards, Inc.QOC 4.0VIIQVIIQQOC 4.0AMZEAmaze Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.0VIDAVIDA Global Inc.QOC 3.8HODOHouse of Doge Inc.QOC 4.0GTICGTICQOC 3.8PAYXPaychex, Inc.QOC 8.9SAGTSagtec Global LimitedQOC 7.3ORKTOrangekloud Technology Inc.QOC 6.0ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: WEWA · VIIQ · AMZE · VIDA · HODO · GTIC · PAYX · SAGT · ORKT · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OCTV?

5 companies across all industries closest to OCTV’s Quality of Company score of 4.0/10.

CYABCyabra, Inc.QOC 4.0HWNIHigh Wire Networks Inc.QOC 4.0PHGEBiomX Inc.QOC 4.0BLISNAPC Defense IncQOC 4.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CYAB · HWNI · PHGE · BLIS · NVDA

Where Does OCTV Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

OCTV is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Octave Intelligence plc’s Valuation?

What is Octave Intelligence plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV). The Quality of Company score is 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OCTV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.46, 1 of 1 active models suggest OCTV may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Octave Intelligence plc's business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.0 mean for OCTV?

Octave Intelligence plc's QOC of 4.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OCTV?

CirclFi analyzes OCTV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OCTV a value trap in 2026?

Octave Intelligence plc's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) a Quality of Company score of 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OCTV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OCTV valuation
  • Financial statements: Octave Intelligence plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002083632) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OCTV as of ; valuations recomputed .