Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. (NERV) Fair Value 2026

NERV · Biotechnology ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (66/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. (NERV) trades at $4.84. QOC: 4.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 66/100 (DANGER). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NERV
Price
$4.84
Quality Score
4.0/10
Value Trap Risk
66/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 66 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NERV?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. (NERV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About NERV?

0 of 13 models are currently active for NERV. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NERV Rank in Biotechnology?

Among 625 Biotechnology stocks, NERV ranks #535 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks →

As a biotech sector, Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. operates in a sector where partnership revenue is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NERV should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is NERV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NERV a score of 66/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record. Investors should note the company's elevated value trap risk score, which suggests apparent undervaluation may not be what it seems.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NERV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Biotechnology Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Biotechnology stocks with 13-model coverage

DRMADermata Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.0MBIOMustang Bio, Inc.QOC 4.0VBIOValion Bio, Inc.QOC 4.0BCABBioAtla, Inc.QOC 4.0OSTXOS Therapies IncorporatedQOC 4.0CVMCEL-SCI CorporationQOC 3.9MDGLMadrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 6.7IRDOpus Genetics, Inc.QOC 5.4MLYSMineralys Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.8EXELExelixis, Inc.QOC 9.6INCYIncyte CorporationQOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: DRMA · MBIO · VBIO · BCAB · OSTX · CVM · MDGL · IRD · MLYS · EXEL · INCY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NERV?

7 companies across all industries closest to NERV’s Quality of Company score of 4.0/10.

ETCGGrayscale Ethereum Classic Trust (ETC)QOC 4.0CHAICore AI HoldingsQOC 4.0HAWKHawkEye 360, Inc.QOC 4.0SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.QOC 4.0NDRAENDRA Life Sciences Inc.QOC 4.0EROKEagleRock Land LLCQOC 4.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ETCG · CHAI · HAWK · SPCX · NDRA · EROK · NVDA

Where Does NERV Sit in CirclFi's Biotechnology Rankings?

NERV is ranked against every other Biotechnology stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Biotechnology stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. (NERV). The Quality of Company score is 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NERV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.84, 0 of 0 active models suggest NERV may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.'s business model in Biotechnology.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.0 mean for NERV?

Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.'s QOC of 4.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NERV?

CirclFi analyzes NERV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NERV a value trap in 2026?

Minerva Neurosciences, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 66/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. (NERV) a Quality of Company score of 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NERV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NERV valuation
  • Financial statements: Minerva Neurosciences, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001598646) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NERV as of ; valuations recomputed .