Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) Fair Value 2026

LMND · Insurance - Property & Casualty ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) trades at $52.96. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LMND
Price
$52.96
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Limited model coverage (0/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LMND?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($52.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lemonade, Inc. currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About LMND?

0 of 13 models are currently active for LMND. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LMND Rank in Insurance - Property & Casualty?

Among 42 Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, LMND ranks #41 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a risk-bearing enterprise, Lemonade, Inc. operates in a sector where combined ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating LMND should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is LMND a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LMND a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for Lemonade, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lemonade, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LMND valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lemonade, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Insurance - Property & Casualty Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks with 13-model coverage

NODKNI Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.7PRHIPresurance Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.9KMPRKemper CorporationQOC 6.9HCIHCI Group, Inc.QOC 9.9PRCHPorch Group, Inc.QOC 6.9HRTGHeritage Insurance Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.7HGTYHagerty, Inc.QOC 9.0ORIOld Republic International CorporationQOC 8.6SKWDSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.QOC 8.1

Read investment analysis: NODK · PRHI · KMPR · HCI · PRCH · HRTG · HGTY · ORI · SKWD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LMND?

7 companies across all industries closest to LMND’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

TULPBloomia Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6WEAVWeave Communications, Inc.QOC 6.6LEDSSemiLEDs CorporationQOC 6.6AKBAAkebia Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6LAKELakeland Industries, Inc.QOC 6.6ACRSAclaris Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TULP · WEAV · LEDS · AKBA · LAKE · ACRS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lemonade, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Lemonade, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Lemonade, Inc. (LMND). The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LMND overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $52.96, 0 of 0 active models suggest LMND may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lemonade, Inc.'s business model in Insurance - Property & Casualty.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for LMND?

Lemonade, Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LMND?

CirclFi analyzes LMND with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LMND a value trap in 2026?

Lemonade, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) a Quality of Company score of 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LMND/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LMND valuation
  • Financial statements: Lemonade, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001691421) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LMND as of ; valuations recomputed .