What Is Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. (HG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $35.14. Based on our 13-model framework, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $80.08 — representing +127.9% implied upside — with 9 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $187.04 (+432.3%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $13.61 (-61.3%). This +493.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About HG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for HG. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HG's intrinsic value at $130.61, implying +271.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does HG Rank in Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance?
Among 50 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance stocks, HG ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places HG in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance Stocks →
As a risk-bearing enterprise, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. operates in a sector where expense ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is HG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +493.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every HG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across HG's 12 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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