Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) Fair Value 2026

EWTX · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) trades at $40.83, approximately 130% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $17.74. QOC: 4.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
EWTX
Price
$40.83
Quality Score
4.5/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +22.0% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $17.14, 58.0% below the current price of $40.83. Estimates range from $1.35 to $49.80. EWTX scores 4.5/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($40.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$17.74 -56.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$13.97 -65.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$23.73 -41.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$49.80 +22.0%

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What Is Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $21.18. Trading at its current price of $40.83, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -48.1%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +22.0% (fair value: $49.80), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -96.7% ($1.35). The spread between these extremes — +118.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About EWTX?

10 of 13 models are currently active for EWTX. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates EWTX's intrinsic value at $17.74, implying -56.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EWTX Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, EWTX ranks #276 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

The Pharmaceutical Preparations sector introduces analytical considerations specific to healthcare company businesses. For Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc., metrics like patent cliff exposure provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is EWTX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EWTX a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. scores 4.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +118.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EWTX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EWTX's 10 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $17.74. The Quality of Company score is 4.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EWTX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $40.83, 2 of 10 active models suggest EWTX may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $17.14, 58.0% below the current price of $40.83 — a consensus view that EWTX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.5 mean for EWTX?

Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 4.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EWTX?

CirclFi analyzes EWTX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is EWTX a value trap in 2026?

Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc. (EWTX) has a median fair value of $17.14 — 58.0% below the current price of $40.83 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EWTX/ · Methodology

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