eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Fair Value 2026

ETOR · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) trades at $31.98. QOC: 2.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ETOR
Price
$31.98
Quality Score
2.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +102.9% upside with 20% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.6/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ETOR?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($31.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $64.89 +102.9%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, eToro Group Ltd. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $31.98. Based on our 13-model framework, eToro Group Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $64.89 — representing +102.9% implied upside — with 1 out of 1 active models confirming this thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ETOR?

1 of 13 models are currently active for ETOR. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ETOR Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, ETOR ranks #97 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.6 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

The Capital Markets sector introduces analytical considerations specific to lending environment businesses. For eToro Group Ltd., metrics like non-performing loan ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ETOR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ETOR a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for eToro Group Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, eToro Group Ltd. scores 2.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ETOR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ETOR's 1 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy eToro Group Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

AUREAurelion Inc.QOC 2.7ABTSAbits Group Inc.QOC 2.5WTFWaton Financial LimitedQOC 2.9MTCMMTec, Inc.QOC 2.5TIGRUP Fintech Holding LimitedQOC 3.0AXGSolowin HoldingsQOC 2.4SFStifel Financial Corp.QOC 7.8NIHKVideo River Networks, Inc.QOC 6.1STKESol Strategies Inc.QOC 5.1FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: AURE · ABTS · WTF · MTC · TIGR · AXG · SF · NIHK · STKE · FUTU · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ETOR?

7 companies across all industries closest to ETOR’s Quality of Company score of 2.6/10.

HSBCHSBC Holdings plcQOC 2.6PHARPharming Group N.V.QOC 2.6HUDIHuadi International Group Co., Ltd.QOC 2.6CNLCollective Mining Ltd.QOC 2.6CMCLCaledonia Mining Corporation PlcQOC 2.6VALEVale S.A.QOC 2.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HSBC · PHAR · HUDI · CNL · CMCL · VALE · NVDA

Where Does ETOR Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

ETOR is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About eToro Group Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is eToro Group Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR). The Quality of Company score is 2.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ETOR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $31.98, 1 of 1 active models suggest ETOR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits eToro Group Ltd.'s business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.6 mean for ETOR?

eToro Group Ltd.'s QOC of 2.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ETOR?

CirclFi analyzes ETOR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ETOR a value trap in 2026?

eToro Group Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) a Quality of Company score of 2.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ETOR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ETOR valuation
  • Financial statements: eToro Group Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001493318) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ETOR as of ; valuations recomputed .