Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) Fair Value 2026

DFLI · Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) trades at $1.69. QOC: 4.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DFLI
Price
$1.69
Quality Score
4.3/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +309.3% upside with 23% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $5.07, 199.8% above the current price of $1.69. Estimates range from $0.09 to $6.92. DFLI scores 4.3/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.69)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$6.01 +255.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$6.92 +309.3%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
$1.26 -25.3%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
$3.45 +104.3%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 4 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 8 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.69. Based on our 13-model framework, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $4.35 — representing +157.2% implied upside — with 6 out of 8 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $6.92 (+309.3%), versus ML-RIV at $0.09 (-94.9%). This +404.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About DFLI?

8 of 13 models are currently active for DFLI. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DFLI Rank in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies?

Among 39 Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks, DFLI ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks →

As a industrial enterprise, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp operates in a sector where book-to-bill ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DFLI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is DFLI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DFLI a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp's fundamental quality profile registers 4.3/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +404.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DFLI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DFLI's 8 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ENS · CBAT · FLNC · BYRN · MVST

See all Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp

What is Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 4.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DFLI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.69, 6 of 8 active models suggest DFLI may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $5.07, 199.8% above the current price of $1.69 — a consensus view that DFLI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp's business model in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.3 mean for DFLI?

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp's QOC of 4.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DFLI?

CirclFi analyzes DFLI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DFLI a value trap in 2026?

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp's Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) has a median fair value of $5.07 — 199.8% above the current price of $1.69 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DFLI/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 8 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on DFLI.

Unlock All 8 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access