Creative Media (CMCT) Fair Value 2026

CMCT · Real Estate Investment Trusts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Creative Media (CMCT) trades at $2.64. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CMCT
Price
$2.64
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +484.9% upside with 48% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Creative Media (CMCT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Creative Media (CMCT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $8.35, 216.3% above the current price of $2.64. Estimates range from $1.26 to $15.44. CMCT scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Creative Media Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$15.44 +484.9%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$1.26 -52.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Creative Media (CMCT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Creative Media's intrinsic value is estimated at $8.35, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $2.64. With an average implied return of +216.3% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +537.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +484.9% (fair value: $15.44), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -52.2% ($1.26). The spread between these extremes — +537.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CMCT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CMCT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CMCT Rank in Real Estate Investment Trusts?

Among 182 Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks, CMCT ranks #166 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks →

As a REIT, Creative Media operates in a sector where weighted average lease term (WALT) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CMCT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CMCT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CMCT a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Creative Media. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Creative Media's fundamental quality profile registers 5.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +537.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CMCT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CMCT's 2 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Creative Media Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Investment Trusts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CUBE · EGP · SELF · EPRT · HHH

See all Real Estate Investment Trusts stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Creative Media

What is Creative Media's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Creative Media (CMCT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CMCT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.64, 1 of 2 active models suggest CMCT may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $8.35, 216.3% above the current price of $2.64 — a consensus view that CMCT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Creative Media's business model in Real Estate Investment Trusts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for CMCT?

Creative Media's QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CMCT?

CirclFi analyzes CMCT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CMCT a value trap in 2026?

Creative Media's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Creative Media (CMCT) has a median fair value of $8.35 — 216.3% above the current price of $2.64 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CMCT/ · Methodology