CSP Inc. (CSPI) Fair Value 2026

CSPI · Information Technology Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CSP Inc. (CSPI) trades at $7.88, versus a $5.42 median fair value across its 6 active models — 31.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $8.04.

Key Facts

Ticker
CSPI
Price
$7.88
Quality Score
7.0/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +2.0% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is CSP Inc. (CSPI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, CSP Inc. (CSPI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $5.42, 31.2% below the current price of $7.88. Estimates range from $0.28 to $8.04. CSPI scores 7.0/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CSPI’s -31.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Information Technology Services sector median is +4.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CSP Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CSPI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $8.04 +2.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.00 -36.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.28 -96.5%
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What Is CSPI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $0.28 to $8.04

CirclFi's 6 active models place CSP Inc. (CSPI) between $0.28 and $8.04 per share, a spread of 143% of the median. The median of that range — $5.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CSPI, against a current price of $7.88.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$0.28median $5.42$8.04
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.28
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$8.04
Model agreement0 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CSPI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CSPI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is CSP Inc. (CSPI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CSP Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $5.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $7.88. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-31.2% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $8.04 (+2.0%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.28 (-96.5%). This +98.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CSP Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CSPI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for CSPI. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CSPI is $5.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $8.04 on its own, implying +2.0% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CSPI Rank in Information Technology Services?

Among 83 Information Technology Services stocks, CSPI ranks #36 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Information Technology Services Stocks →

Within the Information Technology Services space, CSP Inc. competes in an environment where rule of 40 score often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CSPI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CSPI a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for CSP Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, CSP Inc. is rated at 7.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +98.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CSPI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CSPI's 6 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CSP Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Information Technology Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Information Technology Services stocks with 13-model coverage

EFOREverforth, Inc.QOC 7.1CLVTClarivate PlcQOC 6.7DXCDXC Technology CompanyQOC 7.2CNXCConcentrix CorporationQOC 6.6INGMIngram Micro Holding CorporationQOC 7.2WYYWidePoint CorporationQOC 6.5LZMHLZ Technology Holdings LimitedQOC 5.6CSQRCsquare, Inc.QOC 3.4GDYNGrid Dynamics Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.4INODInnodata Inc.QOC 9.3ITGartner, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: EFOR · CLVT · DXC · CNXC · INGM · WYY · LZMH · CSQR · GDYN · INOD · IT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CSPI?

7 companies across all industries closest to CSPI’s Quality of Company score of 7.0/10.

VIRCVirco Mfg. CorporationQOC 7.0NRCNRC HealthQOC 7.0ONDSOndas Inc.QOC 7.0WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.QOC 7.0ADTNADTRAN Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.0CTOSCustom Truck One Source, Inc.QOC 7.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VIRC · NRC · ONDS · WEC · ADTN · CTOS · NVDA

Where Does CSPI Sit in CirclFi's Information Technology Services Rankings?

CSPI is ranked against every other Information Technology Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Information Technology Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About CSP Inc.’s Valuation?

What is CSP Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CSP Inc. (CSPI)'s intrinsic value at $5.42 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.28 to $8.04. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $8.04 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CSPI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.88, 1 of 6 active models suggest CSPI may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $5.42, 31.2% below the current price of $7.88 — a consensus view that CSPI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CSP Inc.'s business model in Information Technology Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.0 mean for CSPI?

CSP Inc.'s QOC of 7.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CSPI?

CirclFi analyzes CSPI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CSPI?

Of the 6 models currently active on CSPI, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $8.04 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.28. CirclFi's published fair value for CSPI is the median of that range, $5.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 143% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CSPI a value trap in 2026?

CSP Inc.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, CSP Inc. (CSPI) has a median fair value of $5.42 — 31.2% below the current price of $7.88 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CSPI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CSPI valuation
  • Financial statements: CSP Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000356037) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CSPI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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