CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA) Fair Value 2026

COBA · Metal Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (53/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA) trades at $2.44, versus a $0.05 median fair value across its 2 active models — 98.0% below the current price. QOC: 4.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 53/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
COBA
Price
$2.44
Quality Score
4.3/10
Value Trap Risk
53/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 53 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.05, 98.0% below the current price of $2.44. Estimates range from $0.03 to $0.07. COBA scores 4.3/10 on fundamental quality and 53/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. COBA’s -98.0% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CHILEAN COBALT CORP. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give COBA?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
$0.07 -97.3%
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
$0.03 -98.6%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, CHILEAN COBALT CORP.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.05, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.44. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-98.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About COBA?

2 of 13 models are currently active for COBA. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for COBA is $0.05 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does COBA Rank in Metal Mining?

Among 1 Metal Mining stocks, COBA ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a manufacturing company, CHILEAN COBALT CORP. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating COBA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is COBA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns COBA a score of 53/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for CHILEAN COBALT CORP.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, CHILEAN COBALT CORP.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.3/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

Models cluster within a tight range (+1.3% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every COBA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across COBA's 2 active models, average confidence is 27%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CHILEAN COBALT CORP. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to COBA?

7 companies across all industries closest to COBA’s Quality of Company score of 4.3/10.

Read investment analysis: ONFO · FCCI · CRBP · MFP · LTUM · CBIH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About CHILEAN COBALT CORP.’s Valuation?

What is CHILEAN COBALT CORP.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA)'s intrinsic value at $0.05 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.03 to $0.07. The Quality of Company score is 4.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is COBA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.44, 0 of 2 active models suggest COBA may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.05, 98.0% below the current price of $2.44 — a consensus view that COBA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CHILEAN COBALT CORP.'s business model in Metal Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.3 mean for COBA?

CHILEAN COBALT CORP.'s QOC of 4.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on COBA?

CirclFi analyzes COBA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is COBA a value trap in 2026?

CHILEAN COBALT CORP.'s Value Trap score is 53/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, CHILEAN COBALT CORP. (COBA) has a median fair value of $0.05 — 98.0% below the current price of $2.44 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/COBA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this COBA valuation
  • Financial statements: CHILEAN COBALT CORP. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001727255) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for COBA as of ; valuations recomputed .