What Is ARKO Petroleum Corp. (APC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $12.52. Trading at $19.88, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -37.0%), as 8 of 11 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $22.32 (+12.3%), versus Dynamic NAV at $2.57 (-87.1%). This +99.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About APC?
11 of 13 models are currently active for APC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates APC's intrinsic value at $5.34, implying -73.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does APC Rank in Wholesale-Petroleum & Petroleum Products (No Bulk Stations)?
Among 8 Wholesale-Petroleum & Petroleum Products (No Bulk Stations) stocks, APC ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.
The Wholesale-Petroleum & Petroleum Products (No Bulk Stations) sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy producer businesses. For ARKO Petroleum Corp., metrics like reserve replacement ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is APC a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for APC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for ARKO Petroleum Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, ARKO Petroleum Corp. earns a quality score of 2.0/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every APC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across APC's 11 active models, average confidence is 4%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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