Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) Fair Value 2026

CETX · Electronic Components & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) trades at $2.47, approximately 305% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.61. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CETX
Price
$2.47
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +111.8% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (5/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$0.61 -75.3%
ML-RIV
High Conviction
$5.23 +111.8%

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What Is Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cemtrex Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $5.78, suggesting a +133.8% average upside from the current price of $2.47. While 3 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Dynamic NAV targets $13.73 (+455.9%), versus Markov DDM at $0.58 (-76.4%). This +532.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CETX?

5 of 13 models are currently active for CETX. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CETX's intrinsic value at $0.61, implying -75.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CETX Rank in Electronic Components & Accessories?

Among 8 Electronic Components & Accessories stocks, CETX ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Cemtrex Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CETX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CETX a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Cemtrex Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cemtrex Inc. scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +532.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CETX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CETX's 5 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cemtrex Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Components & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

7 related Electronic Components & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: HUBB · VPG · MRCY · KULR · VSH

Frequently Asked Questions About Cemtrex Inc.

What is Cemtrex Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Cemtrex Inc. (CETX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.61. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CETX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.47, 3 of 5 active models suggest CETX may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cemtrex Inc.'s business model in Electronic Components & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for CETX?

Cemtrex Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CETX?

CirclFi analyzes CETX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CETX a value trap in 2026?

Cemtrex Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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