Cadiz Inc. (CDZI) Fair Value 2026

CDZI · Utilities - Regulated Water ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Cadiz Inc. (CDZI) trades at $3.99. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CDZI
Price
$3.99
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CDZI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.92 -77.0%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Cadiz Inc. (CDZI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cadiz Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.92. Trading at its current price of $3.99, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -77.0%.

What Do the Models Say About CDZI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for CDZI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CDZI Rank in Utilities - Regulated Water?

Among 13 Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, CDZI ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Cadiz Inc.'s positioning within the Utilities - Regulated Water segment means that payout ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including rate case outcomes — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CDZI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CDZI a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Cadiz Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Cadiz Inc. earns a quality score of 5.4/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CDZI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CDZI's 1 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cadiz Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Water Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Utilities - Regulated Water stocks with 13-model coverage

GWRSGlobal Water Resources, Inc.QOC 7.0CETICyber Enviro-Tech, Inc.QOC 3.8YORWThe York Water CompanyQOC 7.2SBSCompanhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo - SABESPQOC 9.3AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.QOC 7.6CWCOConsolidated Water Co. Ltd.QOC 8.9CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupQOC 8.1MSEXMiddlesex Water CompanyQOC 7.7

Read investment analysis: GWRS · CETI · YORW · SBS · AWK · CWCO · CWT · MSEX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CDZI?

7 companies across all industries closest to CDZI’s Quality of Company score of 5.4/10.

SBIGSpringBig Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4DLPNDolphin Entertainment, Inc.QOC 5.4LINELineage, Inc.QOC 5.4ANKMANKAM INC.QOC 5.4SGPSpyGlass Pharma, Inc.QOC 5.4IMMPImmutep LimitedQOC 5.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SBIG · DLPN · LINE · ANKM · SGP · IMMP · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Cadiz Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Cadiz Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Cadiz Inc. (CDZI). The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CDZI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.99, 0 of 1 active models suggest CDZI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cadiz Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Regulated Water.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for CDZI?

Cadiz Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CDZI?

CirclFi analyzes CDZI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CDZI a value trap in 2026?

Cadiz Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Cadiz Inc. (CDZI) a Quality of Company score of 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CDZI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CDZI valuation
  • Financial statements: Cadiz Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000727273) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CDZI as of ; valuations recomputed .