BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) Fair Value 2026

BKT · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) trades at $10.38, versus a $9.92 median fair value across its 3 active models — 4.4% below the current price. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BKT
Price
$10.38
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: 3 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $9.92, within 4.4% of the current price of $10.38. Estimates range from $8.72 to $10.38. BKT scores 4.7/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BKT’s -4.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BKT?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.38)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
$10.38 0.0%
Relative · Low Conviction
$8.72 -16.0%
Option-Based · Low Conviction
$9.92 -4.4%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is BKT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $8.72 to $10.38

CirclFi's 3 active models place BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) between $8.72 and $10.38 per share, a spread of 17% of the median. The median of that range — $9.92 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BKT, against a current price of $10.38.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · Markov DDM
$8.72median $9.92$10.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$8.72
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$10.38
Model agreement0 bullish · 1 bearishtight

The methods largely agree on BKT. A band this narrow usually means stable, predictable cash flows that every approach reads the same way, and it is the strongest form of confirmation this engine can produce.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BKT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $9.92, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $10.38. While the median implied return is -4.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +16.0% between the most bullish and bearish estimates.

What Do the Models Say About BKT?

3 of 13 models are currently active for BKT. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for BKT is $9.92 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BKT Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, BKT ranks #139 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BKT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BKT a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.7/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

Models cluster within a tight range (+16.0% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BKT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BKT's 3 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BDJ · BME · RVT · VLT · TYG · FINS · PDPA · OWL · HSDT · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BKT?

7 companies across all industries closest to BKT’s Quality of Company score of 4.7/10.

Read investment analysis: CBLO · SYBX · AEMD · MIRA · SHMD · IMTE · NVDA

Where Does BKT Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

BKT is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT)'s intrinsic value at $9.92 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $8.72 to $10.38. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BKT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.38, 0 of 3 active models suggest BKT may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $9.92, within 4.4% of the current price of $10.38 — a consensus view that BKT is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for BKT?

BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.'s QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BKT?

CirclFi analyzes BKT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BKT?

Of the 3 models currently active on BKT, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $10.38 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $8.72. CirclFi's published fair value for BKT is the median of that range, $9.92, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 17% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BKT a value trap in 2026?

BlackRock Income Trust, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. (BKT) has a median fair value of $9.92 — within 4.4% of the current price of $10.38 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BKT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BKT valuation
  • Financial statements: BlackRock Income Trust, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000832327) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BKT as of ; valuations recomputed .