Bank First Corporation (BFC) Fair Value 2026

BFC · Banks - Regional ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Bank First Corporation (BFC) trades at $151.85, versus a $89.42 median fair value across its 6 active models — 41.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BFC
Price
$151.85
Quality Score
8.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Bank First Corporation (BFC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Bank First Corporation (BFC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $89.42, 41.1% below the current price of $151.85. Estimates range from $58.32 to $183.01. BFC scores 8.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BFC’s -41.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Banks - Regional sector median is -22.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Bank First Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BFC?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($151.85)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $58.32 -61.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $89.42 -41.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $88.94 -41.4%
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What Is BFC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $58.32 to $183.01

CirclFi's 6 active models place Bank First Corporation (BFC) between $58.32 and $183.01 per share, a spread of 139% of the median. The median of that range — $89.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BFC, against a current price of $151.85.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$58.32median $89.42$183.01
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$58.32
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$183.01
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BFC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BFC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Bank First Corporation (BFC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Bank First Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $89.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $151.85. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-41.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $183.01 (+20.5%), versus EPV at $58.32 (-61.6%). This +82.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About BFC?

6 of 13 models are currently active for BFC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BFC is $89.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BFC Rank in Banks - Regional?

Among 349 Banks - Regional stocks, BFC ranks #68 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.4 places BFC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Banks - Regional Stocks →

Within the Banks - Regional space, Bank First Corporation competes in an environment where net interest margin (NIM) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is BFC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BFC a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Bank First Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Bank First Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.4/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +82.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BFC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BFC's 6 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Bank First Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Banks - Regional Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Banks - Regional stocks with 13-model coverage

AMALAmalgamated Financial Corp.QOC 8.4SYBTStock Yards Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.4FMFGFarmers and Merchants Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.4HBCPHome Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.4CBSHCommerce Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.5BOTJBank of the James Financial Group, Inc.QOC 8.4SMBCSouthern Missouri Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.1SBSISouthside Bancshares, Inc.QOC 7.7OZKBank OZKQOC 6.1ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: AMAL · SYBT · FMFG · HBCP · CBSH · BOTJ · SMBC · SBSI · OZK · ESQ · PEBO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BFC?

4 companies across all industries closest to BFC’s Quality of Company score of 8.4/10.

LWAYLifeway Foods, Inc.QOC 8.4NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.QOC 8.4XTNTXtant Medical Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LWAY · NESR · XTNT · NVDA

Where Does BFC Sit in CirclFi's Banks - Regional Rankings?

BFC is ranked against every other Banks - Regional stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Banks - Regional stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Bank First Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Bank First Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Bank First Corporation (BFC)'s intrinsic value at $89.42 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $58.32 to $183.01. The Quality of Company score is 8.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BFC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $151.85, 1 of 6 active models suggest BFC may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $89.42, 41.1% below the current price of $151.85 — a consensus view that BFC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Bank First Corporation's business model in Banks - Regional.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.4 mean for BFC?

Bank First Corporation's QOC of 8.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BFC?

CirclFi analyzes BFC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BFC?

Of the 6 models currently active on BFC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $183.01 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $58.32. CirclFi's published fair value for BFC is the median of that range, $89.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 139% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BFC a value trap in 2026?

Bank First Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Bank First Corporation (BFC) has a median fair value of $89.42 — 41.1% below the current price of $151.85 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BFC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BFC valuation
  • Financial statements: Bank First Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001746109) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BFC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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