What Is Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amplitude, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.81. Trading at its current price of $9.36, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -59.3%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -1.7% (fair value: $9.20), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -94.1% ($0.55). The spread between these extremes — +92.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AMPL?
13 of 13 models are currently active for AMPL. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates AMPL's intrinsic value at $1.85, implying -80.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AMPL Rank in Software - Application?
Among 20 Software - Application stocks, AMPL ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.7 indicates above-average quality.
Amplitude, Inc.'s positioning within the Software - Application segment means that rule of 40 score plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is AMPL a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AMPL a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Amplitude, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Amplitude, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.7/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AMPL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AMPL's 13 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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