AGM Group Holdings Inc. (AGMH) Fair Value 2026

AGMH · Computer Hardware ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (AGMH) trades at $1.10, approximately 585% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.16. QOC: 2.8/10. 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AGMH
Price
$1.10
Quality Score
2.8/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +437.8% upside with 27% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.16 -85.4%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$3.44 +212.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.06 +269.4%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
$5.92 +437.8%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 4 additional models including EROIC Spread, PWERM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 8 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is AGM Group Holdings Inc. (AGMH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on AGM Group Holdings Inc. at $1.10. With an estimated intrinsic value of $2.30 and 5 of 8 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +109.3%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $5.92 (+437.8%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.16 (-85.4%). This +523.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about AGM Group Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AGMH?

8 of 13 models are currently active for AGMH. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AGMH's intrinsic value at $0.16, implying -85.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AGMH Rank in Computer Hardware?

Among 4 Computer Hardware stocks, AGMH ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

AGM Group Holdings Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AGMH a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for AGMH. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for AGM Group Holdings Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, AGM Group Holdings Inc. is rated at 2.8/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +523.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AGMH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AGMH's 8 active models, average confidence is 16%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy AGM Group Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Computer Hardware Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Computer Hardware stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: ANET · ALOT · AMCI

Frequently Asked Questions About AGM Group Holdings Inc.

What is AGM Group Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, AGM Group Holdings Inc. (AGMH) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.16. The Quality of Company score is 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AGMH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.10, 5 of 8 active models suggest AGMH may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits AGM Group Holdings Inc.'s business model in Computer Hardware.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.8 mean for AGMH?

AGM Group Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 2.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AGMH?

CirclFi analyzes AGMH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AGMH a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for AGMH at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 8 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on AGMH.

Unlock All 8 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access