What Is Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc (ADGM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $0.96, suggesting a +68.5% average upside from the current price of $0.57. While 3 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $1.91 (+233.8%), versus Regime Cross at $0.01 (-98.2%). This +332.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About ADGM?
5 of 13 models are currently active for ADGM. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ADGM's intrinsic value at $0.12, implying -78.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ADGM Rank in Medical Devices?
Among 10 Medical Devices stocks, ADGM ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.
Within the Medical Devices space, Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc competes in an environment where patent cliff exposure often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ADGM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ADGM a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
5 of 13 models are active for Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc is rated at 5.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +332.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ADGM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ADGM's 5 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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