Prothena Corporation plc (PRTA) Fair Value 2026

PRTA · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Prothena Corporation plc (PRTA) trades at $8.64, approximately 63% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $5.31. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PRTA
Price
$8.64
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +23.4% upside with 20% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$5.31 -38.5%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$10.67 +23.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$8.82 +2.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$6.84 -20.8%

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What Is Prothena Corporation plc (PRTA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Prothena Corporation plc presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $8.64. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $8.45 (-2.2% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 4 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: EROIC targets $16.25 (+88.1%), versus ML-RIV at $0.40 (-95.3%). This +183.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PRTA?

11 of 13 models are currently active for PRTA. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PRTA's intrinsic value at $5.31, implying -38.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PRTA Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 469 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, PRTA ranks #52 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a biopharma enterprise, Prothena Corporation plc operates in a sector where pipeline depth and stage distribution is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating PRTA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is PRTA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PRTA a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Prothena Corporation plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Prothena Corporation plc's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +183.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PRTA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PRTA's 11 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Prothena Corporation plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMPH · AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Prothena Corporation plc

What is Prothena Corporation plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Prothena Corporation plc (PRTA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $5.31. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PRTA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.64, 6 of 11 active models suggest PRTA may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Prothena Corporation plc's business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for PRTA?

Prothena Corporation plc's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PRTA?

CirclFi analyzes PRTA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PRTA a value trap in 2026?

Prothena Corporation plc's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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