OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) Fair Value 2026

OKUR · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) trades at $4.21, approximately 11% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.79. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OKUR
Price
$4.21
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +1.5% upside with 14% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $4.42, within 5.0% of the current price of $4.21. Estimates range from $0.36 to $8.44. OKUR scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 36/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$3.79 -10.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$4.22 +0.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.28 +1.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.59 -62.2%

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What Is OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $4.41, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $4.21. While the average implied return is +4.8%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +191.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, EROIC, places fair value at $8.44 (+100.5%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.36 (-91.4%). This +191.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About OKUR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for OKUR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates OKUR's intrinsic value at $3.79, implying -10.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OKUR Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, OKUR ranks #145 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

Within the Pharmaceutical Preparations space, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. competes in an environment where pipeline depth and stage distribution often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is OKUR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OKUR a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. is rated at 5.8/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +191.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OKUR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OKUR's 11 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.

What is OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.79. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OKUR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.21, 8 of 11 active models suggest OKUR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $4.42, within 5.0% of the current price of $4.21 — a consensus view that OKUR is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for OKUR?

OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OKUR?

CirclFi analyzes OKUR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OKUR a value trap in 2026?

OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, OnKure Therapeutics, Inc. (OKUR) has a median fair value of $4.42 — within 5.0% of the current price of $4.21 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OKUR/ · Methodology

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