Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) Fair Value 2026

MBAI · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) trades at $3.24. QOC: 2.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MBAI
Price
$3.24
Quality Score
2.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +48.5% upside with 32% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MBAI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.24)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $4.81 +48.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Check-Cap Ltd. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $3.24. Based on our 13-model framework, Check-Cap Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.81 — representing +48.5% implied upside — with 1 out of 1 active models confirming this thesis.

What Do the Models Say About MBAI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for MBAI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MBAI Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 187 Software - Infrastructure stocks, MBAI ranks #178 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.7 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

Within the Software - Infrastructure space, Check-Cap Ltd. competes in an environment where free cash flow margin often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is MBAI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MBAI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Check-Cap Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Check-Cap Ltd. is rated at 2.7/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MBAI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MBAI's 1 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Check-Cap Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

RDWRRadware Ltd.QOC 2.9RZLVRezolve AI PLCQOC 2.7CLBTCellebrite DI Ltd.QOC 2.9ALLTAllot Ltd.QOC 2.7SUPXSuperX AI Technology LimitedQOC 3.0DLODLocal LimitedQOC 2.7BBBlackBerry LimitedQOC 8.3BKKTBakkt, Inc.QOC 6.3YYAIAiRWA Inc.QOC 5.2FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: RDWR · RZLV · CLBT · ALLT · SUPX · DLO · BB · BKKT · YYAI · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MBAI?

7 companies across all industries closest to MBAI’s Quality of Company score of 2.7/10.

IOTRiOThree LimitedQOC 2.7MWGMulti Ways Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7MTEKMaris-Tech Ltd.QOC 2.7UFGUni-Fuels Holdings LimitedQOC 2.7BYAHPark Ha Biological Technology Co., Ltd.QOC 2.7BLDPBallard Power Systems Inc.QOC 2.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IOTR · MWG · MTEK · UFG · BYAH · BLDP · NVDA

Where Does MBAI Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

MBAI is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Check-Cap Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Check-Cap Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI). The Quality of Company score is 2.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MBAI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.24, 1 of 1 active models suggest MBAI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Check-Cap Ltd.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.7 mean for MBAI?

Check-Cap Ltd.'s QOC of 2.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MBAI?

CirclFi analyzes MBAI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MBAI a value trap in 2026?

Check-Cap Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Check-Cap Ltd. (MBAI) a Quality of Company score of 2.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MBAI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MBAI valuation
  • Financial statements: Check-Cap Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001610590) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MBAI as of ; valuations recomputed .