Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) Fair Value 2026

LTCN · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) trades at $3.63. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LTCN
Price
$3.63
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +84.0% upside with 17% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LTCN?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.63)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $6.68 +84.0%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Grayscale Litecoin Trust is potentially undervalued at its current price of $3.63. Based on our 13-model framework, Grayscale Litecoin Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $6.68 — representing +84.0% implied upside — with 1 out of 1 active models confirming this thesis.

What Do the Models Say About LTCN?

1 of 13 models are currently active for LTCN. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LTCN Rank in Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers?

Among 3 Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers stocks, LTCN ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Grayscale Litecoin Trust operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LTCN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LTCN a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Grayscale Litecoin Trust. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Grayscale Litecoin Trust's fundamental quality profile registers 4.9/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LTCN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LTCN's 1 active models, average confidence is 17%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Grayscale Litecoin Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers stocks with 13-model coverage

BCHGGrayscale Bitcoin Cash TrustQOC 5.3ETCGGrayscale Ethereum Classic Trust (ETC)QOC 4.0

Read investment analysis: BCHG · ETCG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LTCN?

7 companies across all industries closest to LTCN’s Quality of Company score of 4.9/10.

SRZNSurrozen, Inc.QOC 4.9CRSFCrisp Momentum Inc.QOC 4.9CGEMCullinan Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.9ANROAlto Neuroscience, Inc.QOC 4.9ALGSAligos Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.9EMMAEmmaus Life Sciences, Inc.QOC 4.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SRZN · CRSF · CGEM · ANRO · ALGS · EMMA · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Grayscale Litecoin Trust’s Valuation?

What is Grayscale Litecoin Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN). The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LTCN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.63, 1 of 1 active models suggest LTCN may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Grayscale Litecoin Trust's business model in Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for LTCN?

Grayscale Litecoin Trust's QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LTCN?

CirclFi analyzes LTCN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LTCN a value trap in 2026?

Grayscale Litecoin Trust's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Grayscale Litecoin Trust (LTCN) a Quality of Company score of 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LTCN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LTCN valuation
  • Financial statements: Grayscale Litecoin Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001732406) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LTCN as of ; valuations recomputed .