Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) Fair Value 2026

LION · Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) trades at $11.40, versus a $3.55 median fair value across its 3 active models — 68.9% below the current price. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LION
Price
$11.40
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +12.6% upside with 43% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $3.55, 68.9% below the current price of $11.40. Estimates range from $3.20 to $12.83. LION scores 5.6/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. LION’s -68.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Lionsgate Studios Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LION?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Scenario · High Conviction
 $3.20 -72.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.55 -68.9%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $12.83 +12.6%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is LION's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $3.20 to $12.83

CirclFi's 3 active models place Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) between $3.20 and $12.83 per share, a spread of 272% of the median. The median of that range — $3.55 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LION, against a current price of $11.40.

Low · First ChicagoHigh · PWERM
$3.20median $3.55$12.83
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFirst Chicago$3.20
Most bullish modelPWERM$12.83
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LION. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LION, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $3.55. Trading at $11.40, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -68.9%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $12.83 (+12.6%), while First Chicago — the most conservative — estimates $3.20 (-72.0%). This +84.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About LION?

3 of 13 models are currently active for LION. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LION is $3.55 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LION Rank in Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production?

Among 1 Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production stocks, LION ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Lionsgate Studios Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LION a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LION a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Lionsgate Studios Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Lionsgate Studios Corp. earns a quality score of 5.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +84.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LION valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LION's 3 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lionsgate Studios Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LION?

7 companies across all industries closest to LION’s Quality of Company score of 5.6/10.

PLSMPulsenmore Ltd.QOC 5.6ACHCAcadia Healthcare Company, Inc.QOC 5.6OPKOPKO Health, Inc.QOC 5.6TEADTeads Holding Co.QOC 5.6BOXLBoxlight CorporationQOC 5.6CTNTCheetah Net Supply Chain Service Inc.QOC 5.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PLSM · ACHC · OPK · TEAD · BOXL · CTNT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lionsgate Studios Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION)'s intrinsic value at $3.55 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $3.20 to $12.83. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LION overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.40, 1 of 3 active models suggest LION may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $3.55, 68.9% below the current price of $11.40 — a consensus view that LION is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s business model in Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for LION?

Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LION?

CirclFi analyzes LION with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LION?

Of the 3 models currently active on LION, PWERM is the most bullish at $12.83 per share, and First Chicago is the most bearish at $3.20. CirclFi's published fair value for LION is the median of that range, $3.55, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 272% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LION a value trap in 2026?

Lionsgate Studios Corp.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Lionsgate Studios Corp. (LION) has a median fair value of $3.55 — 68.9% below the current price of $11.40 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LION/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LION valuation
  • Financial statements: Lionsgate Studios Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002052959) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LION as of ; valuations recomputed .