Firy Inc. (FIRY) Fair Value 2026

FIRY · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (34/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Firy Inc. (FIRY) trades at $10.19, versus a $9.16 median fair value across its 2 active models — 10.1% below the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 34/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FIRY
Price
$10.19
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
34/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +21.0% upside with 31% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Firy Inc. (FIRY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Firy Inc. (FIRY) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $9.16, 10.1% below the current price of $10.19. Estimates range from $5.99 to $12.33. FIRY scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 34/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. FIRY’s -10.1% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Firy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give FIRY?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
$5.99 -41.2%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$12.33 +21.0%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Firy Inc. (FIRY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Firy Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $10.19. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $9.16 (-10.1% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $12.33 (+21.0%), versus Dynamic NAV at $5.99 (-41.2%). This +62.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About FIRY?

2 of 13 models are currently active for FIRY. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for FIRY is $9.16 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FIRY Rank in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia?

Among 22 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, FIRY ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Electronic Gaming & Multimedia sector introduces analytical considerations specific to media and communications company businesses. For Firy Inc., metrics like content cost ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is FIRY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FIRY a score of 34/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Firy Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Firy Inc. scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +62.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FIRY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FIRY's 2 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Firy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electronic Gaming & Multimedia Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DKI · GAME · PLTK · SNAL · SOHU · GXAI · GDC · GMHS · MYPS · NTES · GRVY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to FIRY?

7 companies across all industries closest to FIRY’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

Read investment analysis: RMTI · CODX · AIRI · AUGO · ELLO · BBOT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Firy Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Firy Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Firy Inc. (FIRY)'s intrinsic value at $9.16 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $5.99 to $12.33. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FIRY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.19, 1 of 2 active models suggest FIRY may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $9.16, 10.1% below the current price of $10.19 — a consensus view that FIRY is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Firy Inc.'s business model in Electronic Gaming & Multimedia.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for FIRY?

Firy Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FIRY?

CirclFi analyzes FIRY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FIRY a value trap in 2026?

Firy Inc.'s Value Trap score is 34/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Firy Inc. (FIRY) has a median fair value of $9.16 — 10.1% below the current price of $10.19 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FIRY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this FIRY valuation
  • Financial statements: Firy Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001801661) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for FIRY as of ; valuations recomputed .