What Is The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Carlyle Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $39.73. Trading at its current price of $45.48, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -12.6%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $263.47 (+479.3%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $2.44 (-94.6%). This +574.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about The Carlyle Group Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About CG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CG. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CG's intrinsic value at $2.44, implying -94.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CG Rank in Investment Advice?
Among 55 Investment Advice stocks, CG ranks #33 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.
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The Carlyle Group Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is CG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CG a score of 38/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for The Carlyle Group Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, The Carlyle Group Inc. earns a quality score of 7.9/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +574.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CG's 12 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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