BioVie Inc. (BIVI) Fair Value 2026

BIVI · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, BioVie Inc. (BIVI) trades at $1.77, approximately 23% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.31. QOC: 3.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BIVI
Price
$1.77
Quality Score
3.4/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +163.4% upside with 6% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is BioVie Inc. (BIVI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, BioVie Inc. (BIVI) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $2.31, 30.3% above the current price of $1.77. Estimates range from $0.27 to $7.95. BIVI scores 3.4/10 on fundamental quality and 39/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy BioVie Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.77)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.31 +30.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.66 +163.4%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$2.30 +29.7%

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What Is BioVie Inc. (BIVI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BioVie Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $3.64. At a current market price of $1.77, 6 of 7 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +105.5%. Notably, Dynamic NAV sees the most upside at +349.4% (fair value: $7.95), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -84.9% ($0.27). The spread between these extremes — +434.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BIVI?

7 of 13 models are currently active for BIVI. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BIVI's intrinsic value at $2.31, implying +30.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BIVI Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, BIVI ranks #375 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.4 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

The Pharmaceutical Preparations sector introduces analytical considerations specific to healthcare company businesses. For BioVie Inc., metrics like R&D productivity ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is BIVI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BIVI a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for BioVie Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BioVie Inc. scores 3.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +434.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BIVI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BIVI's 7 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BioVie Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About BioVie Inc.

What is BioVie Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, BioVie Inc. (BIVI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.31. The Quality of Company score is 3.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BIVI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.77, 6 of 7 active models suggest BIVI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $2.31, 30.3% above the current price of $1.77 — a consensus view that BIVI is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BioVie Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.4 mean for BIVI?

BioVie Inc.'s QOC of 3.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BIVI?

CirclFi analyzes BIVI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BIVI a value trap in 2026?

BioVie Inc.'s Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, BioVie Inc. (BIVI) has a median fair value of $2.31 — 30.3% above the current price of $1.77 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BIVI/ · Methodology

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