Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD) Fair Value 2026

AEMD · Medical Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (33/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD) trades at $0.67, approximately 57% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.54. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 33/100 (LOW). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AEMD
Price
$0.67
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
33/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +415.4% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.67)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.54 +130.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.45 +415.4%

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What Is Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Aethlon Medical, Inc. at $0.67. With an estimated intrinsic value of $1.73 and 3 of 5 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +157.9%. The most optimistic model, CUCE, places fair value at $3.45 (+415.4%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.40 (-40.7%). This +456.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Aethlon Medical, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AEMD?

5 of 13 models are currently active for AEMD. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AEMD's intrinsic value at $1.54, implying +130.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AEMD Rank in Medical Devices?

Among 10 Medical Devices stocks, AEMD ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a pharmaceutical industry, Aethlon Medical, Inc. operates in a sector where biosimilar competition timeline is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AEMD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AEMD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AEMD a score of 33/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Aethlon Medical, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Aethlon Medical, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.9/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +456.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AEMD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AEMD's 5 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Aethlon Medical, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Medical Devices Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Medical Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Aethlon Medical, Inc.

What is Aethlon Medical, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.54. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AEMD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.67, 4 of 5 active models suggest AEMD may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Aethlon Medical, Inc.'s business model in Medical Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for AEMD?

Aethlon Medical, Inc.'s QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AEMD?

CirclFi analyzes AEMD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AEMD a value trap in 2026?

Aethlon Medical, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 33/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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