Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) Fair Value 2026

WOLF · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) trades at $26.95, versus a $30.54 median fair value across its 2 active models — 13.3% above the current price. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WOLF
Price
$26.95
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +68.7% upside with 34% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $30.54, 13.3% above the current price of $26.95. Estimates range from $15.61 to $45.46. WOLF scores 5.8/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WOLF’s +13.3% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -62.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Wolfspeed, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WOLF?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($26.95)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
$15.61 -42.1%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
$45.46 +68.7%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Wolfspeed, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $30.54, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $26.95. While the median implied return is +13.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +110.8% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $45.46 (+68.7%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $15.61 (-42.1%). This +110.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Wolfspeed, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About WOLF?

2 of 13 models are currently active for WOLF. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WOLF is $30.54 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WOLF Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, WOLF ranks #51 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

The Semiconductors sector introduces analytical considerations specific to semiconductor industry businesses. For Wolfspeed, Inc., metrics like inventory days provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is WOLF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WOLF a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Wolfspeed, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Wolfspeed, Inc. scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +110.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WOLF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WOLF's 2 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Wolfspeed, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GUER · ALMU · MX · PRSO · GSIT · PXLW · SQNS · MRVL · CEVA · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WOLF?

6 companies across all industries closest to WOLF’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

Read investment analysis: EVH · INDO · PLBY · MI · INVU · JEM

Where Does WOLF Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

WOLF is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Wolfspeed, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Wolfspeed, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF)'s intrinsic value at $30.54 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $15.61 to $45.46. The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WOLF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $26.95, 1 of 2 active models suggest WOLF may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $30.54, 13.3% above the current price of $26.95 — a consensus view that WOLF is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Wolfspeed, Inc.'s business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for WOLF?

Wolfspeed, Inc.'s QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WOLF?

CirclFi analyzes WOLF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is WOLF a value trap in 2026?

Wolfspeed, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) has a median fair value of $30.54 — 13.3% above the current price of $26.95 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WOLF/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WOLF valuation
  • Financial statements: Wolfspeed, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000895419) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WOLF as of ; valuations recomputed .