VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) Fair Value 2026

VYNE · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (44/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) trades at $0.76, approximately 30% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.58. QOC: 4.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 44/100 (WARN). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VYNE
Price
$0.76
Quality Score
4.2/10
Value Trap Risk
44/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +164.1% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 44 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.76, essentially in line with the current price of $0.76. Estimates range from $0.15 to $2.00. VYNE scores 4.2/10 on fundamental quality and 44/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy VYNE Therapeutics Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.58 -23.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.82 +8.0%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.76 +0.9%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$2.00 +164.1%

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What Is VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, VYNE Therapeutics Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.88, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $0.76. With an average implied return of +16.4% across a split 3–3 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +244.7% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Dynamic NAV sees the most upside at +164.1% (fair value: $2.00), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -80.6% ($0.15). The spread between these extremes — +244.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About VYNE?

9 of 13 models are currently active for VYNE. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates VYNE's intrinsic value at $0.58, implying -23.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VYNE Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, VYNE ranks #316 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

The Pharmaceutical Preparations sector introduces analytical considerations specific to healthcare company businesses. For VYNE Therapeutics Inc., metrics like FDA approval probability provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is VYNE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VYNE a score of 44/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for VYNE Therapeutics Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, VYNE Therapeutics Inc. scores 4.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +244.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VYNE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VYNE's 9 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy VYNE Therapeutics Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About VYNE Therapeutics Inc.

What is VYNE Therapeutics Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.58. The Quality of Company score is 4.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VYNE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.76, 5 of 9 active models suggest VYNE may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.76, essentially in line with the current price of $0.76 — a consensus view that VYNE is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits VYNE Therapeutics Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.2 mean for VYNE?

VYNE Therapeutics Inc.'s QOC of 4.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VYNE?

CirclFi analyzes VYNE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is VYNE a value trap in 2026?

VYNE Therapeutics Inc.'s Value Trap score is 44/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, VYNE Therapeutics Inc. (VYNE) has a median fair value of $0.76 — essentially in line with the current price of $0.76 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VYNE/ · Methodology

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