Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) Fair Value 2026

SEV · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) trades at $1.90, approximately 126% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.84. QOC: 4.2/10. 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SEV
Price
$1.90
Quality Score
4.2/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +167.8% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $1.70, 10.2% below the current price of $1.90. Estimates range from $0.09 to $5.08. SEV scores 4.2/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Aptera Motors Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.90)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.84 -55.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $1.92 +1.4%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $5.08 +167.8%

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What Is Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Aptera Motors Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.00. Trading at $1.90, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +5.8%), as 4 of 7 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +167.8% (fair value: $5.08), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -95.5% ($0.09). The spread between these extremes — +263.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SEV?

7 of 13 models are currently active for SEV. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SEV's intrinsic value at $0.84, implying -55.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SEV Rank in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies?

Among 28 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks, SEV ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies sector introduces analytical considerations specific to vehicle manufacturer businesses. For Aptera Motors Corp., metrics like average transaction price (ATP) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SEV a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SEV. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Aptera Motors Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Aptera Motors Corp. earns a quality score of 4.2/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +263.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SEV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SEV's 7 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Aptera Motors Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies stocks with 13-model coverage

RACEFerrari N.V.QOC 10.0FSSFederal Signal CorporationQOC 9.6FFord Motor CompanyQOC 9.6LILi Auto Inc.QOC 9.5PCARPACCAR Inc.QOC 9.4TSLATesla, Inc.QOC 8.7FLYEFly-E Group, Inc.QOC 8.4OSKOshkosh Corporation (Holding CoQOC 8.0

Read investment analysis: RACE · FSS · F · LI · PCAR

Frequently Asked Questions About Aptera Motors Corp.

What is Aptera Motors Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.84. The Quality of Company score is 4.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SEV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.90, 3 of 7 active models suggest SEV may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $1.70, 10.2% below the current price of $1.90 — a consensus view that SEV is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Aptera Motors Corp.'s business model in Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.2 mean for SEV?

Aptera Motors Corp.'s QOC of 4.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SEV?

CirclFi analyzes SEV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SEV a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for SEV at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Aptera Motors Corp. (SEV) has a median fair value of $1.70 — 10.2% below the current price of $1.90 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SEV/ · Methodology

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