ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) Fair Value 2026

RNW · Utilities - Renewable ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) trades at $6.82, versus a $6.42 median fair value across its 7 active models — 5.9% below the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.99.

Key Facts

Ticker
RNW
Price
$6.82
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +2.6% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $6.42, within 5.9% of the current price of $6.82. Estimates range from $2.17 to $14.53. RNW scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. RNW’s -5.9% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy ReNew Energy Global Plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RNW?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.99 +2.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $6.42 -5.9%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.17 -68.1%
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What Is RNW's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $2.17 to $14.53

CirclFi's 7 active models place ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) between $2.17 and $14.53 per share, a spread of 193% of the median. The median of that range — $6.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RNW, against a current price of $6.82.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$2.17median $6.42$14.53
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$2.17
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$14.53
Model agreement2 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RNW. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RNW, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on ReNew Energy Global Plc at its current price of $6.82. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $6.42 (-5.9% vs price), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +113.1% (fair value: $14.53), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -68.1% ($2.17). The spread between these extremes — +181.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RNW?

7 of 13 models are currently active for RNW. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RNW is $6.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.99 on its own, implying +2.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RNW Rank in Utilities - Renewable?

Among 24 Utilities - Renewable stocks, RNW ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Utilities - Renewable space, ReNew Energy Global Plc competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDAX often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is RNW a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RNW a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for ReNew Energy Global Plc. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, ReNew Energy Global Plc's fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +181.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RNW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RNW's 7 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ReNew Energy Global Plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Renewable Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Utilities - Renewable stocks with 13-model coverage

ORAOrmat Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.3FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.QOC 6.6CWENClearway Energy, Inc.QOC 7.6STEMStem, Inc.QOC 6.5BNRGBrenmiller Energy LtdQOC 2.2CREGSmart Powerr Corp.QOC 6.5XIFRXPLR Infrastructure, LPQOC 5.4HTOOFusion Fuel Green PLCQOC 4.8FRVOFervo Energy CompanyQOC 3.6

Read investment analysis: ORA · FLNC · CWEN · STEM · BNRG · CREG · XIFR · HTOO · FRVO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RNW?

7 companies across all industries closest to RNW’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

BMTMBright Mountain Media, Inc.QOC 6.6WVEWave Life Sciences, Inc.QOC 6.6ODYSOdysight.ai Inc.QOC 6.6WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.QOC 6.6NEONeoGenomics, Inc.QOC 6.6NPCENeuroPace, Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BMTM · WVE · ODYS · WBD · NEO · NPCE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About ReNew Energy Global Plc’s Valuation?

What is ReNew Energy Global Plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW)'s intrinsic value at $6.42 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.17 to $14.53. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.99 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RNW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.82, 3 of 7 active models suggest RNW may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $6.42, within 5.9% of the current price of $6.82 — a consensus view that RNW is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ReNew Energy Global Plc's business model in Utilities - Renewable.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for RNW?

ReNew Energy Global Plc's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RNW?

CirclFi analyzes RNW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RNW?

Of the 7 models currently active on RNW, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $14.53 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $2.17. CirclFi's published fair value for RNW is the median of that range, $6.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 193% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RNW a value trap in 2026?

ReNew Energy Global Plc's Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, ReNew Energy Global Plc (RNW) has a median fair value of $6.42 — within 5.9% of the current price of $6.82 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RNW/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RNW valuation
  • Financial statements: ReNew Energy Global Plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001848763) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RNW as of ; valuations recomputed .

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