BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo (RILYP) Fair Value 2026

RILYP · Investment Advice ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

3.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo (RILYP) trades at $13.99, approximately 73% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $51.63. QOC: 3.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RILYP
Price
$13.99
Quality Score
3.7/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +294.9% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 3.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.99)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$51.63 +269.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$45.87 +227.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$55.25 +294.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$9.98 -28.7%

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What Is BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo (RILYP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $26.75. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $13.99 (implied upside of +91.2%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 9 bullish models. Notably, CUCE sees the most upside at +294.9% (fair value: $55.25), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -96.2% ($0.53). The spread between these extremes — +391.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About RILYP?

9 of 13 models are currently active for RILYP. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RILYP's intrinsic value at $51.63, implying +269.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RILYP Rank in Investment Advice?

Among 48 Investment Advice stocks, RILYP ranks #46 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.7 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Investment Advice Stocks →

BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RILYP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RILYP a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo earns a quality score of 3.7/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +391.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RILYP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RILYP's 9 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Investment Advice Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Frequently Asked Questions About BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo

What is BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo (RILYP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $51.63. The Quality of Company score is 3.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RILYP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.99, 5 of 9 active models suggest RILYP may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo's business model in Investment Advice.

What does a Quality of Company score of 3.7 mean for RILYP?

BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo's QOC of 3.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RILYP?

CirclFi analyzes RILYP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RILYP a value trap in 2026?

BRC Group Holdings, Inc. - Depo's Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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