PPL Corporation (PPL) Fair Value 2026

PPL · Electric Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, PPL Corporation (PPL) trades at $36.07, approximately 74% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $136.37. QOC: 7.6/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PPL
Price
$36.07
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +278.1% upside with 50% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($36.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$136.37 +278.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$3.97 -89.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$23.29 -35.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$54.91 +52.2%

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What Is PPL Corporation (PPL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PPL Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $34.92. Trading at $36.07, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -3.2%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $136.37 (+278.1%), versus EPV at $3.97 (-89.0%). This +367.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About PPL?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PPL. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PPL's intrinsic value at $136.37, implying +278.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PPL Rank in Electric Services?

Among 70 Electric Services stocks, PPL ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Electric Services Stocks →

The Electric Services sector introduces analytical considerations specific to power and energy company businesses. For PPL Corporation, metrics like payout ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is PPL a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PPL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for PPL Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, PPL Corporation earns a quality score of 7.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +367.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PPL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PPL's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy PPL Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electric Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Electric Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CEPU · VST · NEE · HNRG · TAC

See all Electric Services stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About PPL Corporation

What is PPL Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, PPL Corporation (PPL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $136.37. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PPL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $36.07, 4 of 12 active models suggest PPL may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits PPL Corporation's business model in Electric Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for PPL?

PPL Corporation's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PPL?

CirclFi analyzes PPL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PPL a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for PPL at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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