Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Fair Value 2026

PHAR · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) trades at $13.31, approximately 404% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.64. QOC: 2.3/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PHAR
Price
$13.31
Quality Score
2.3/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.3/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $9.69, 27.2% below the current price of $13.31. Estimates range from $1.81 to $19.25. PHAR scores 2.3/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Pharming Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.31)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.64 -80.1%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$4.28 -67.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$6.65 -50.1%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$10.03 -24.7%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Pharming Group N.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $8.91, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $13.31. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-33.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $19.25 (+44.6%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.81 (-86.4%). This +131.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PHAR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PHAR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PHAR's intrinsic value at $2.64, implying -80.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PHAR Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, PHAR ranks #402 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

Within the Pharmaceutical Preparations space, Pharming Group N.V. competes in an environment where R&D productivity ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PHAR a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PHAR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Pharming Group N.V.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Pharming Group N.V. is rated at 2.3/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +131.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PHAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PHAR's 12 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Pharming Group N.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Pharming Group N.V.

What is Pharming Group N.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.64. The Quality of Company score is 2.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PHAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.31, 1 of 12 active models suggest PHAR may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $9.69, 27.2% below the current price of $13.31 — a consensus view that PHAR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Pharming Group N.V.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.3 mean for PHAR?

Pharming Group N.V.'s QOC of 2.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PHAR?

CirclFi analyzes PHAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PHAR a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for PHAR at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Pharming Group N.V. (PHAR) has a median fair value of $9.69 — 27.2% below the current price of $13.31 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PHAR/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on PHAR.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access