Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) Fair Value 2026

ODV · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) trades at $2.38, approximately 207% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.77. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ODV
Price
$2.38
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +11.0% upside with 17% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $1.10, 53.8% below the current price of $2.38. Estimates range from $0.27 to $3.97. ODV scores 4.9/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Osisko Development Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.38)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.77 -67.5%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$1.19 -50.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$0.71 -70.3%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$2.64 +11.0%

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What Is Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Osisko Development Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.38, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.38. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-42.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $3.97 (+66.9%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $0.27 (-88.8%). This +155.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ODV?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ODV. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ODV's intrinsic value at $0.77, implying -67.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ODV Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 62 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, ODV ranks #27 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Osisko Development Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ODV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ODV a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Osisko Development Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Osisko Development Corp. is rated at 4.9/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +155.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ODV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ODV's 12 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Osisko Development Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · HMY · IDR

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Osisko Development Corp.

What is Osisko Development Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.77. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ODV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.38, 2 of 12 active models suggest ODV may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $1.10, 53.8% below the current price of $2.38 — a consensus view that ODV is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Osisko Development Corp.'s business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for ODV?

Osisko Development Corp.'s QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ODV?

CirclFi analyzes ODV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ODV a value trap in 2026?

Osisko Development Corp.'s Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Osisko Development Corp. (ODV) has a median fair value of $1.10 — 53.8% below the current price of $2.38 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ODV/ · Methodology

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