NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) Fair Value 2026

NAMSW · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) trades at $20.56. QOC: 2.5/10. 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NAMSW
Price
$20.56
Quality Score
2.5/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.5/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $5.34, 74.0% below the current price of $20.56. Estimates range from $0.43 to $14.63. NAMSW scores 2.5/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.38 -73.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$5.29 -74.2%
Dynamic NAV
Medium Conviction
$6.79 -67.0%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$3.60 -82.5%

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What Is NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V's intrinsic value is estimated at $5.97. Trading at its current price of $20.56, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -71.0%. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $14.63 (-28.8%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $0.43 (-97.9%). This +69.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About NAMSW?

8 of 13 models are currently active for NAMSW. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NAMSW Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, NAMSW ranks #394 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.5 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V's positioning within the Pharmaceutical Preparations segment means that R&D productivity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including orphan drug designation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NAMSW a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for NAMSW. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V scores 2.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +69.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NAMSW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NAMSW's 8 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V

What is NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 2.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NAMSW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.56, 0 of 8 active models suggest NAMSW may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $5.34, 74.0% below the current price of $20.56 — a consensus view that NAMSW is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V's business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.5 mean for NAMSW?

NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V's QOC of 2.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NAMSW?

CirclFi analyzes NAMSW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NAMSW a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for NAMSW at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, NewAmsterdam Pharma Company N.V (NAMSW) has a median fair value of $5.34 — 74.0% below the current price of $20.56 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NAMSW/ · Methodology

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