Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) Fair Value 2026

HPP · Real Estate ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (20/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) trades at $15.54, approximately 156% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.06. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 20/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HPP
Price
$15.54
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
20/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $6.20, 60.1% below the current price of $15.54. Estimates range from $2.30 to $61.71. HPP scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 20/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.54)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$6.06 -61.0%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$5.45 -64.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$15.11 -2.7%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$4.63 -70.2%

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What Is Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $13.02. Trading at its current price of $15.54, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -16.2%. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +297.1% (fair value: $61.71), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -85.2% ($2.30). The spread between these extremes — +382.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About HPP?

12 of 13 models are currently active for HPP. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HPP's intrinsic value at $6.06, implying -61.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HPP Rank in Real Estate?

Among 32 Real Estate stocks, HPP ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →

The Real Estate sector introduces analytical considerations specific to REIT businesses. For Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc., metrics like weighted average lease term (WALT) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HPP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HPP a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.4/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +382.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HPP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HPP's 12 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CHCI · FSV · FPH · VTMX · IIPR

See all Real Estate stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.

What is Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.06. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HPP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.54, 2 of 12 active models suggest HPP may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $6.20, 60.1% below the current price of $15.54 — a consensus view that HPP is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.'s business model in Real Estate.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for HPP?

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.'s QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HPP?

CirclFi analyzes HPP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HPP a value trap in 2026?

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 20/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. (HPP) has a median fair value of $6.20 — 60.1% below the current price of $15.54 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HPP/ · Methodology

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