What Is Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Goosehead Insurance, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $37.02. Trading at its current price of $54.87, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -32.5%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $210.14 (+283.0%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $2.38 (-95.7%). This +378.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Goosehead Insurance, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About GSHD?
12 of 13 models are currently active for GSHD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GSHD's intrinsic value at $12.32, implying -77.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GSHD Rank in Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service?
Among 24 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service stocks, GSHD ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places GSHD in the top tier.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc.'s positioning within the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service segment means that expense ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including investment income yield — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is GSHD a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GSHD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Goosehead Insurance, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Goosehead Insurance, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.8/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +378.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GSHD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GSHD's 12 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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